The Potential Role of Value Investing In Volatile Markets

The inclusion of stocks in a portfolio is essential to pursuing most financial goals, because stocks historically have outperformed all types of bonds and cash alternatives over the long term, and their higher returns help combat inflation.[1] Sharp price swings in stocks that can arise due to market volatility, however, can cause even some of the most disciplined investors to turn jittery and unload their portfolios. In a turbulent market environment, suitable investors looking for the capital appreciation potential that stocks provide – with a lower level of volatility than other types of stocks – often find value stocks appealing.

Value stocks are those that are perceived to be “bargains” or are undervalued – that is, those whose true values are not reflected in their current prices and, over time, whose prices are estimated by value managers to potentially increase faster than stocks that are fully priced. Value stocks may be inexpensive or “cheap” compared to what they are currently worth. The market is not willing to pay more for them because their underlying companies or industries are out of favor. The job of value investment managers is to identify companies poised for a possible turnaround, potentially leading to rising earnings and opportunities for higher stock prices.

Before an investment manager identifies a value stock as a “buy,” they need to determine if a positive change has occurred in the underlying company that is yet to materialize in the stock’s current price. Positive changes include:

· an aggressive management change or significant productivity improvements;

· a restructuring to reduce costs, which would make the company more likely to continue pursuing profitability over the long term; and

· financial conditions that they believe are strong or improving.

Value managers generally use a “buy and hold” strategy. This means that a stock will be held until it meets its target price (of course, there is no assurance that target prices will be attained), and in some cases, even longer if the underlying company demonstrates the potential for continued profitability. Value managers will sell stocks that appear overvalued or have experienced deteriorating fundamentals.

Large company value stocks typically are more attractive than small company value stocks during times of market volatility because these stocks are often from companies that are established market or industry leaders. They therefore generally withstand market setbacks better than small cap stocks and experience smaller price swings during market volatility.

Of course, like all stocks, large company value stocks are subject to market risk and will undergo fluctuations in stock prices; downward (as well as upward) trends can occur over short or extended periods.

Dividends Can Potentially Add a Level of Protection in Turbulent Times

In addition to capital appreciation, value stocks typically pay investors a steady stream of income through dividends, although dividends are not guaranteed. Dividends provide:

· Cash Return to the Investor – Dividends are a major reason to invest in stocks at any point in the stock market cycle. Stocks that pay attractive dividends are appealing because they offer the potential for above-average growth of investment capital and steady income.

· Downside “Cushion” – High current dividend yields of underlying companies can serve as a “cushion” for companies’ share prices if they temporarily fall out of favor with the market. This plays an even more important role in volatile or declining markets.

· Favorable Tax Treatment – The Tax Increase Prevention and Reconciliation Act of 2006 extends favorable capital gains tax rates to certain dividends. Through 2010, those investors in the 25 percent or higher tax bracket pay 15 percent on qualified dividend income, instead of the investor’s ordinary income tax rate.[2]

Value Stocks in Your Overall Investment Plan

Value stocks are especially appealing in turbulent times because they tend to be more defensive than other equity styles. That is why many conservative investors, investors nearing retirement and first-time stock investors have found them so attractive. They enable investors to participate in the potentially larger gains associated with stocks while helping to manage risk in a diversified portfolio.

Value stocks can play an important role in an investor’s portfolio. Selecting those stocks appropriate for your investment plan, however, is a demanding process that requires the inclination and time to analyze companies, study the forces that influence the economy, and assess the trends in the financial markets. In volatile markets, this challenge can prove even more daunting.

A professional investment management program may be an appropriate strategy for building a portfolio of value stocks. Your financial advisor can help you determine if investing in value stocks through separately managed accounts is suitable for your specific situation, in light of your risk tolerance, investment objectives, and liquidity needs. For more information about how you can diversify your portfolio with value stocks, and information about other defensive investment strategies that may be appropriate in a volatile market environment, please contact your financial advisor.

The information contained in this article is based on sources believed reliable, but its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. This article is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be relied upon as the basis for an investment decision. Consult your financial advisor, as well as your tax and/or legal advisors regarding your personal circumstances before making investment decisions.

# # #

Matt Hubbard is a Financial Advisor with UBS Financial Services

You can reach him @ This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it

or by phone @ 303.820.5095

[1] Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Based on data provided by Ibbotson Associates, Chicago, 1926-2006.

[2] Neither UBS Financial Services Inc. nor its employees provide tax or legal advice. You should to consult with your tax advisors before making investment decisions.

 
Did You ATM Your House?

Lots of people are asking how we got here. Here IS: Home prices worth less than they were 2 years ago.

The common thought is that housing prices will “always go up.” While today many will say ‘bahumbug’ to this, it is actually true that over the past 2 decades, home prices nationally have increased over 240%… does that mean that every year every market goes up? The answer to that is: NOPE. Real Estate has always been, and will always be a “local market.”

The ATM reference here is how we got here. Did you do a refi of your house over the past 5 years? Many people did. Many people used the “up market” to get cash out to pay their other obligations down… and then found themselves charging those cards and credit lines back up… that’s how we got here… many people borrowed more than was sensible, just because they could… and they sucked up all the equity in their house’s value… The banks loaned it to you, without helping you consider that there were costs associated with selling a house… now with no equity, and a house full of TVs, stereos, sports gear and a new car in the driveway, the average american doesn’t have the equity in their house necessary to even sell their house at today’s prices.

This is how we got here… rampant consumerism, and unbridled lending.

Brad K. Evans is a Realtor® in Denver, Colorado
MetroBrokers – Denver CORE
http://www.DenverCORE.com
This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it

 
Understanding Mortgage Loss Mitigation or the ‘Short Refinance’ Process

In brief, loss mitigation is the process of getting the amount of the mortgage(s) in line with the value of the property; and at the same time, getting the interest rate(s) in line with the current market. The goal is to keep the home owner in the home. Loss mitigation, done correctly, helps stabilize neighborhoods and values within neighborhoods. Additionally, loss mitigation cuts the losses incurred by the mortgage servicing company and the investor. Finally, loss mitigation reduces the expense of corporate advances and holds intact servicing fees.

Home owners may be exposed to many financial pitfalls and dangers. For example, a potential deficiency judgment must be negotiated to be forgiven. Between now and the end of 2009, by Federal Law, there can be no income taxable event on a forgiven deficiency or deficiencies. More discussion and facts are available on our web site (below).

 
Credit Agreement

Whenever you apply for credit you’re provided with a credit agreement. Be it credit hire agreements or regulated credit agreements you are obligated to sign a written contract which stipulates the terms and conditions of that credit agreement. In addition to knowing about credit agreements you must also become familiar with unfair credit agreements. This means being clear on information the consumer is privy to upon establishing the credit arrangements and before signing the agreement. In many cases this means shopping around for better credit deals based on comparison of credit agreement terms and conditions. Before signing any credit agreement however make sure to consider these key factors about credit agreement:

  1. All credit agreements must comply with the 1974 Consumer Credit Act to include recent amendments added in 2006. This includes adherence to regulations regarding promotional offers, pre-approval or contract information and credit agreements. Overall the credit agreement must completely comply with regulations regarding unfair credit agreements.
  2. The creditor has to make clear pertinent financial information on the credit agreement to include, the total amount of credit, the period of time for the credit, total amount payable including APR rates. Additionally, the financial information must also illustrate the rate of interest, late fees, and any other charges payable in the event of a default or early pay off.
  3. The credit agreement must clearly point out the cooling off period and the process for the credit agreement cancellation or trade. This includes any type of credit agreement, be it in home, over the phone or on the internet. In either case the cooling off period will vary from based on different types of transactions.
  4. If the credit account is established in house with the creditor, the consumer will not be extended a cooling off period however they will receive a copy of the agreement within 7 days before it’s signed and an additional 7 days to sign and return.
  5. The creditor has to allow the consumer to access to their agreement or copy thereof upon the consumers request. This mean a consumer can request a copy of their signed agreement anytime they choose.
  6. Credit agreements must accompany regular monthly statements to the consumer and notice when payments are late or missed calculated with any penalties or default fees plus interest should be present.
  7. There should be consumer information regarding the early payoff and balance settlements pre-calculated based upon the credit agreement terms.
  8. Default and termination enforcement information should be sent to the consumer and disclosed all enforceable rules, to include legal actions should certain terms or conditions of the contract be violated by the consumer. However be advised this may not apply to credit agreements enter into before April 2006.
 
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